No doubt there will be a number of lawsuits filed in Ohio, where it will be close, and here in Florida, where people are having a suspiciously hard time voting, but I have a strong feeling that Ann Romney will be denied a chance to redecorate the White House.
I’m going mostly with the wisdom of the crowd — not that strange crowd of people who still have land lines and answer calls from numbers they don’t recognize, but the crowd of gamblers who care more about their own cash than the vagaries of politics. Every one of the betting sites I’ve seen shows Obama anywhere from 15 to 20 points ahead. (Actually, I just checked Intrade and Obama is now favored 67-32.)
Before the advent of the Gallup poll in 1936, gamblers were the main bellwether of presidential elections, with 93 percent accuracy over 56 years. I don’t know how modern polls stack up against that record, but 93 percent ain’t bad. Like most everything else in America, money talks and bullshit walks.
Except when it’s being used to buy bullshit. We got about a billion dollars worth of it during the campaign. Has there ever been so much money so poorly spent? In retrospect, maybe the Koch brothers should have played the ponies.
Then again, as I’m fond of saying, I’ve been wrong before. I’m still willing to wager, say, five bucks that Obama wins it. No politics here, just odds. Anybody want some this action?